Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000688 0.000783 0.000883 0.000997 0.001122 0.001255 0.001406
2025-08-31 0.000521 0.000648 0.000792 0.000967 0.001170 0.001399 0.001674
2025-09-07 0.000441 0.000584 0.000752 0.000964 0.001221 0.001520 0.001893
2025-09-14 0.000381 0.000533 0.000719 0.000962 0.001267 0.001633 0.002100
2025-09-21 0.000330 0.000485 0.000684 0.000951 0.001296 0.001719 0.002273
2025-09-28 0.000286 0.000441 0.000647 0.000933 0.001311 0.001787 0.002422
2025-10-05 0.000264 0.000425 0.000644 0.000956 0.001379 0.001921 0.002656
2025-10-12 0.000243 0.000407 0.000638 0.000974 0.001438 0.002043 0.002877
2025-10-19 0.000217 0.000379 0.000614 0.000965 0.001460 0.002117 0.003035
2025-10-26 0.000194 0.000353 0.000591 0.000954 0.001477 0.002183 0.003183
2025-11-02 0.000179 0.000339 0.000583 0.000964 0.001522 0.002286 0.003383
2025-11-09 0.000163 0.000320 0.000568 0.000962 0.001550 0.002367 0.003553
2025-11-16 0.000142 0.000293 0.000536 0.000934 0.001540 0.002394 0.003651
2025-11-23 0.000124 0.000268 0.000507 0.000909 0.001531 0.002422 0.003752
2025-11-30 0.000112 0.000253 0.000494 0.000905 0.001554 0.002496 0.003917
2025-12-07 0.000102 0.000240 0.000482 0.000904 0.001580 0.002574 0.004089
2025-12-14 0.000092 0.000225 0.000465 0.000893 0.001590 0.002628 0.004227
2025-12-21 0.000081 0.000208 0.000445 0.000876 0.001589 0.002665 0.004341
2025-12-28 0.000078 0.000205 0.000449 0.000898 0.001651 0.002798 0.004598
2026-01-04 0.000073 0.000201 0.000449 0.000915 0.001705 0.002918 0.004837
2026-01-11 0.000066 0.000190 0.000436 0.000907 0.001717 0.002976 0.004984
2026-01-18 0.000060 0.000178 0.000422 0.000896 0.001725 0.003027 0.005122
2026-01-25 0.000056 0.000173 0.000419 0.000906 0.001765 0.003128 0.005338